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NZ CPI [q/q]

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New Zealand
NZ Consumer Price Index
Good New Zealand inflation indicator published on a quarterly basis, but it has a small fly in the ointment – this is the reaction of the market to both quarterly and annual data. The quarterly indicator is published first...

Features of the publication

Quarterly report
Important for the Central Bank
Influences the regulation of the interest rate
Contains two important indicators

How to trade NZ CPI [q/q]

Trading pair NZDUSD grows if the data are released above the forecasts.

The report contains a set of New Zealand inflation data both in quarterly terms and in annual terms. Our trading goal is quarterly CPI q/q data, as they are published first, and the primary market reaction will come from the quarterly CPI.

The most unstable part of this indicator is the annual CPI y/y indicator, which is published after the quarterly indicator. As such, for extra small deviations of the headliner (quarterly), we have a chance to see a stop of the initial reaction of quotations if the quarterly data are not supported by the annual report.

Sometimes, we can observe the sharp movement of the market before the release – this requires attention! A sharp market movement burns the anticipated reaction at the time of release, which reduces the chances of a continued movement from the indicator. It is better to switch to higher triggers in such moments, and sometimes completely abandon trading. Fortunately, the indicator usually arrives on time, but it's worth keeping your hand on the pulse of events.

 

Traditional risks remain for the trading pair NZDUSD. Since the news is published in a low-liquid trading time, we can get an additional spread growth and additional slippage, although NZ CPI q/q retains its status of a good trading indicator. 

History of publications

Date:
15/10/2019
Signal:
Buy 1
Cons:
0.60
Fact:
0.70
Dev:
0.10
React:
15
Direct:
Up
Pair:
NZDUSD
Best entry
Date:
16/04/2019
Signal:
Sell 2
Cons:
0.30
Fact:
0.10
Dev:
-0.20
React:
50
Direct:
Down
Pair:
NZDUSD
Best entry
Date:
22/01/2019
Signal:
Buy 1
Cons:
0.00
Fact:
0.10
Dev:
0.10
React:
25
Direct:
Up
Pair:
NZDUSD
Best entry
Worst entry