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US ADP Nonfarm Employment Change
A remarkable harbinger of the imminent publication of Non-Farm Payrolls is a data from ADP as an unofficial attempt to guess the data of the forthcoming large publication of US labor market statistics. Recently, the market is paying attention to the deviation from ADP data, which turns into good movements leading to trading signals.
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How to trade US ADP Nonfarm Employment Change
If the data exceeds the forecasts, the USDJPY trading pair grows.
US ADP Non Farm Employment Change is traded very simply, as the market is interested in only one figure, namely, the expected quantitative increase of the employed. Unlike the official data of Non-Farm Payrolls, data from ADP does not conflict, and the market likes it.
The only thing that needs to be monitored is the statistics of past releases, namely, the reaction of USDJPY to the publication of ADP. Statistics for the last four releases shows well the current attitude of the market to this indicator, and this is important since the ratio can vary in different periods.
Accordingly, your choice of triggers will also vary from this: popularity at the peak, we use the minimum triggers. Popularity has moved to the background, we will increase triggers for the trading signal.
You can consider the US ADP Non Farm Employment Change popular if, upon the deviation of +/- 20K, the USDJPY pair reacts to 20 points (well, or so).
Since Non-Farm Payrolls is published on Fridays (the first Friday of the month), then ADP is traditionally published on Wednesday.
The change in the number of employed in the non-agricultural sector of the USA from ADP (Automatic Data Processing, Inc) can be considered a leading indicator, which gives it an additional attention from market participants, and it’s good for it.
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