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US GDP Annualized

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United States
US Gross Domestic Product Annualized

In total, there are three US GDP releases, further to the best of the strength of the market reaction (the first is the strongest one): Advance, Preliminary, and Final. You need to clearly understand which report is in front of you at the moment. As a rule, the Advance one is strong and published 30 days after the end of the quarter, as the GDP reports are quarterly.

Features of the publication

Have three outputs: Advance, Preliminary, and Final
Determine which release is in front of you
The Advance report at the end of the quarter is stronger
Triggers can be reduced for the second and third ones

How to trade US GDP Annualized

If the data exceeds the forecast, USDJPY grows.

The GDP growth indicator is widely used by economists when assessing the state of the country's economy. So why this report is very popular.

Since the report is published on a quarterly basis, this is another plus to attention.

Nevertheless, in the case of the US report, it should be noted that the indicator is quite volatile, that is, the forecast very often deviates from the fact. On the one hand, this is an additional trading opportunity for the algorithm but on the other hand it is a disadvantage, because the markets are simply are accustomed to such sweeping deviations. Triggers are usually selected higher up for the same reason. The reason for such sweeps is the difficulty of predicting the exact figure of the American, the largest and most dynamic, economy of the World.

The main thing that needs to be done before trading is to understand which GDP report is in front of you since there are only three releases and not every release is interested to the market (!).

The most important report is the Advance one at the end of the quarter. As a rule, it is prepared for release after 30 days from the end of the previous quarter. It is this preliminary report that will be the most volatile from the position of quotations of the dollar. There is such a specific feature here: the forecasts for the second and third releases will be more accurate and you can use triggers less for the second and third releases since the expansion of the GDP indicator itself will already be smaller.

 

As a result, the first report is the most promising, but despite this, triggers should be higher as traders are accustomed to inaccuracies in the forecast. The second and third releases can use trade triggers less, since the forecasts for them will be more accurate.

History of publications

Date:
26/01/2018
Signal:
Sell 2
Cons:
3.00
Fact:
2.60
Dev:
-0.40
React:
18
Direct:
Down
Pair:
USDJPY
Date:
27/10/2017
Signal:
Buy 2
Cons:
2.50
Fact:
3.00
Dev:
0.50
React:
25
Direct:
Up
Pair:
USDJPY
Others
Date:
30/08/2017
Signal:
Buy 1
Cons:
2.70
Fact:
3.00
Dev:
0.30
React:
20
Direct:
Up
Pair:
USDJPY
Others

Comments

Comments (1)

  • Mark Arnaus's picture
    Mark Arnaus

    The Indicator was postponed from the 15:30 Wednesday (30/01/2019) to the next week

    Jan 30, 2019

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